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+---
+type: video
+title: "Ceasefire and Contagion: Factions Against Iran Peace & FX, Sovereign Debt, and Commodity Spillovers"
+date: 2026-04-09
+modified: 2026-04-09
+description: 'Mine, Print, Hash - 2026 Week #15'
+tags:
+  - macro
+posse:
+  𝕏: https://x.com/MinePrintHash/status/2042359391555551543
+  YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1gKRGCYbGWY
+  Substack: https://www.mineprinthash.com/p/ceasefire-and-contagion
+  LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/posts/cotsuka_ceasefire-and-contagion-factions-against-activity-7448125022952480768-rxDW
+---
+
+import YouTube from '@components/youtube.astro';
+
+The Iran ceasefire is a narrow opening within a much larger reorganization of the Middle East.
+
+Matt Dines examines how the contagion is spreading through FX, sovereign debt, and commodities markets. While the short two-week window is an opportunity for the US and Iran to negotiate a peaceful exit, factions that prefer a return to the status quo or an alternative result are working behind the scenes to ensure these talks turn sour.
+
+<YouTube
+  title="Ceasefire and Contagion: Factions Against Iran Peace & FX, Sovereign Debt, and Commodity Spillovers"
+  videoURL="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1gKRGCYbGWY"
+/>